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Iranian Scientific Elite Sacrificed at the Altar of Nuclear Policies

Friday, January 20th, 2012

RadioZamaneh

Fri, 01/20/2012
Hamid Mafi

Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan is the fifth Iranian scientist to become the target of terrorist operations. He was a professor of physics at Sanati Sharif University in Tehran and deputy director for commercial affairs at Natanz nuclear plant .

According to Iranian media, the physicist was killed in a terrorist attack near the Ministry of Intelligence headquarters, and Iran’s political and security officials have attributed the assassination to Western countries and, specifically, Israel.

The head of the Tehran Provisions Council told Fars News Agency: “The assassination of Ahmadi Roshan was carried out by the Israeli intelligence service.” He claims that in the lead-up to Iran’s parliamentary elections in March, Western intelligence services are trying to provoke a security clampdown that will discourage people from going out in public during the elections.

Mohammad Esmail Kosari, a Tehran representative in Parliament and a member of the National Security Commission, told Fars News Agency: “Ahmadi Roshan’s assassination is completely targeted and similar to the assassination of Shahriyari.” He also insists that Western countries and Israel are trying to stop Iran’s advance in nuclear science.

Such official accusations against foreign countries, however, follow previous efforts to attribute the assassinations to domestic opposition groups or unexpected accidents.

The mysterious death of the centrifuge designer

The first Iranian physicist killed in the past five years was Ardeshir Hosseinpour, who had a PhD in Physics and was a professor at Malek Ashtar University. He was killed in February of 2007, and the cause of his death was reported in the media as inhalation of fumes from a gas leak.

Iranian security forces and Iran’s Atomic Energy Agency made every effort to conceal the news of his death, but five days after the incident, Iran’s national broadcaster reported on the mysterious fate of the Malek Ashtar and Shiraz University professor.

While Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization denied any links between Hosseinpour and Iran’s nuclear program, the Baztab website, run by former Revolutionary Guards commander and secretary of the Expediency Council Mohsen Rezai, announced that Hosseinpour was a designer of nuclear centrifuges.

According to this report, Hosseinpour was in charge of 12 top defence projects, including the propulsion motors for Shahab 3 missiles.

At the time of Hosseinpour’s death, The Sunday Times of London quoted the Texas-based private intelligence company Stratfor, saying that Hosseinpour was connected with Iran’s nuclear project and had been poisoned by radioactive gases.

The report also quoted the company saying that the Iranian scientist was probably targeted by Israeli intelligence services.

Russia’s Novosti News Agency reported that Hosseinpour could have been the father of Iran’s atomic bomb and speculated that he might have been assassinated by the Mossad.

However, five years ago, Iranian security and nuclear officials denied that Israel had any hand in Hosseinpour’s death and insisted that Western security agencies lack the capability to carry out such operations in Iran.

Iran’s official media stuck to the story that Hosseinpour was killed by gas inhalation in the Shiraz University dormitory, though some indicated that he might have been poisoned during nuclear tests at the Natanz nuclear facilities.

Assassination of two physicists

Three years after the death of Ardeshir Hosseinpour, two simultaneous terrorist operations were carried out in Iran. One targeted Majid Shahriyari, another nuclear physics professor, this time at Shahid Beheshti University, and a designer of the configurations of the 20-percent-enriched fuel plates for nuclear centrifuges.

The attack claimed the life of Majid Shahriyari, who was described as Iran’s top nuclear scientist by the former head of Iran’s Atomic Agency and the current foreign minister, Ali Akbar Salehi. That same day, nuclear scientist Fereydoon Abbasi Davani was targeted in a separate assassination attempt, which he survived, and he now heads Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization.

Those two assassination attempts were quite different. Shahriyari was killed with a remote-control bomb, while Abbasi Davani was shot at while in his car.

This time, Iranian security officials accused Israel and the U.S. of carrying out the attacks, and Intelligence Minister Heydar Moslehi announced: “We have several clues as to who perpetrated the assassination attempts on our two top physicists.”

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad attributed the assassinations to British intelligence services. Parliamentary Speaker Ali Larijani and MP Mohammad Esmail Kosari accused Israel and the U.S. The Fars News Agency maintained that the countries involved in nuclear negotiations with Iran were behind these terrorist operations.

Some analysts declared, however, that the attempt on Abbasi Davani’s life was staged, citing the differences between the two operations as ample proof of their allegations.

Massoud Ali-Mohammadi, professor and protester

A year before the double assassination attempts, at at time when the Islamic Republic regime was cracking down on demonstrations against the election results, Massoud Ali-Mohammadi, a physics professor at Tehran University, was killed in a terrorist attack in front of his home. While domestic and international media linked him to Iran’s nuclear dossier, that was denied by Ahmad Shirzad, a reformist MP in the sixth Parliament.

Iran’s Atomic Energy Agency also denied that Ali-Mohammadi was on staff there. However, Parliamentary Speaker Larijani described Ali- Mohammadi as a figure in Iran’s nuclear program and once again linked his death to Israel and the U.S.

A number of Iranian newspapers, however, reported that Ali-Mohammadi was a supporter of MirHosein Mousavi, the presidential candidate who had challenged Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s victory in the 2009 presidential election, and added that he had been very vocal in his criticism of the government.

The assassination of Ali-Mohammadi spawned much speculation and several theories. The Islamic Students Society and Conservative MP Hamid Resai maintained that the election protests led to Ali-Mohammadi’s assassination, and some internet sites speculated that the government might have been involved in staging the attack. None of these statements was ever corroborated by any evidence.

The athlete that was presented as a terrorist

The Russian daily Kommersant and another Iranian analyst claimed that Ali-Mohammadi was indeed an Iranian nuclear scientist, and that it was possible his assassination had been carried out by Israeli security services. These statements were backed by pointing out similarities between Ali-Mohammadi’s assassination and the Israeli operation that targeted an Iraqi nuclear scientist.

Fars News Agency, however, said the dissident group Anjoman-e Padeshahi Iran was responsible for the attack, which the organization immediately denied.

Finally, a year after the assassination of this prominent professor, the Islamic Republic Intelligence Ministry announced that it had arrested Ali-Mohammadi’s killers.

Later, Iranian state television aired parts of the alleged confession of Farshid Jamali fash, in which he admitted having been trained by the Israeli intelligence service to assassinate Ali-Mohammadi.

Once Jamali fash was seen on television, it was discovered that he was a member of Iran’s national kickboxing team as well as Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s election campaign.

While he claimed that he had assassinated Ali-Mohammadi on a mission from the Mossad, Israel denied any links between Jamali fash and its intelligence agency.

Daryoosh Rezainejad became the next member of Iran’s scientific elite to be killed in a terrorist attack. Domestic media first described him as a physicist connected with Iran’s nuclear program, but hours later this was denied, and it was announced instead that he had been working with the Ministry of Defence.

Iran once again accused Israel of carrying out Rezainejad’s assassination, maintaining that it had been mistaken in its target. Months after this incident, there has still been no information released about Rezainejad’s assassins.

Unknown Terrorists

Now, with the assassination of Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan, the subject of Iran’s targeted nuclear scientists has come into the spotlight once more. Iran has again accused Israel of perpetrating the act, and the Foreign Ministry spokesman is already making retaliatory statements.

A day after Ahmadi Roshan’s assassination, Hossein Shariatmadari, the managing director of the Keyhan daily, who is considered a direct conduit for the Supreme Leader’s views, criticized the government and the security services for failing to retaliate against the terrorist attacks.

In an editorial, Shariatmadari wrote: “One must ask why the Islamic Republic is not exercising its right to respond in kind, which is recognized not only in Islamic teaching but also in all the international legal systems under the section ‘Retaliate’?”

He added: “It is easily possible for the Islamic Republic’s intelligence and security services, which have become veterans of the all-out war with the intelligence and security forces of the enemy through 32 years of vast and complex experiences, to assassinate Israeli military and government officials.”

Israel has refrained from responding to the accusations regarding Ahmadi Roshan, but U.S. Foreign Secretary Hilary Clinton condemned the terrorist act and emphasized that her country had no role in the operation and condemns the murder of innocent people.

Javan-on-line, a website connected with the political bureau of the Revolutionary Guards, has claimed to possess several clues regarding Ahmadi Roshan’s assassination. It claimed that it is trying to identify the assailants using video captures from traffic cameras. Iran’s Intelligence Minister has also said the perpetrators will soon be announced.

The Islamic Iran Participation Front, a reformist opposition group that has been banned since the controversial protests against the disputed 2009 presidential election, has issued a statement addressing the terrorist attacks of the past three years, calling on the country’s security forces to concentrate on protecting Iranian scientists rather than arresting political activists and creating a security-laden atmosphere all across the country.

A  number of political activists have also urged the government to stop its nuclear adventurism and the sacrifice of Iranian professors and scientists on the altar of their erroneous policies.

Five years after the mysterious death of Ardeshir Hosseinpour, and with another four terrorist operations carried out since, Iran’s security forces have presented only one alleged perpetrator, Farshid Jamali fash, as the accused killer of Massoud Ali-Mohammadi, a crime they claim is linked to the Mossad.

Even this claim has been called dubious by several analysts and media outlets, and the public still awaits the real story behind the serial assassination of Iranian scientists.

 

 

Santorum: US wrong to condemn Iranian scientist killing

Saturday, January 14th, 2012

Published January 14, 2012

Associated Press

GREENVILLE, S.C. –  Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum said Saturday the U.S. was wrong to condemn the killing of an Iranian nuclear scientist this week.

The Obama administration’s public posture on the death Wednesday of Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan does not reflect the hard line Santorum supports in keeping Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, the former Pennsylvania senator said while campaigning in conservative upstate South Carolina.

“Our country condemned it. My feeling is we should have kept our mouth shut,” Santorum told about 200 people packed into a popular breakfast diner in Greenville.

Santorum is vying to emerge as conservatives’ alternative to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney in the Jan. 21 South Carolina primary. Romney leads in public and private polls of likely voters, although former House Speaker Newt Gingrich is within striking distance, with a week to go before balloting begins.

However, Santorum has risen here since his breakthrough near-tie with Romney in the Iowa caucuses on Jan. 3. He has a robust state organization and is making aggressive inroads with evangelical conservatives, like many of those who were at the Country Ham House Saturday morning.

And while Santorum stresses values issues, he has also argued for a tough stand on Iran’s nuclear capability. Responding to a question in Greenville, he said he supports missile strikes to stop its nuclear program, if Iran refuses to submit to inspections.

“If these are people who are developing a weapon to be used to either destroy the state of Israel or to spread terror — a reign of terror — around the world, we shouldn’t be sitting on the sidelines and letting it happen,” he said. “They cannot have a nuclear weapon, because you, in Greenville, will not be safe.”

Santorum was scheduled to campaign later Saturday in the Charleston area.

Iran Says CIA Behind Nuclear Scientist’s Killing

Saturday, January 14th, 2012

ABC News

By NASSER KARIMI Associated Press

TEHRAN, Iran January 14, 2012 (AP)

Iran said Saturday it has evidence that the United States was behind the assassination of an Iranian nuclear scientist this week in Tehran, state media reported.

Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan was killed in a brazen daylight assassination Wednesday when two assailants on a motorcycle attached a magnetic bomb to his car in the Iranian capital. The killing bore a strong resemblance to earlier killings of scientists working on the Iranian nuclear program, and has prompted calls in Iran for retaliation against those deemed responsible.

The IRNA state news agency said Saturday that Iran’s Foreign Ministry has sent a diplomatic letter to the U.S. saying that it has “evidence and reliable information” that the CIA provided “guidance, support and planning” to assassins “directly involved” in Roshan’s killing.

The U.S. has denied any role in the assassination.

Iran delivered the letter to the Swiss Embassy in Tehran, which looks after U.S. interests in the country. Iran and the U.S. have had no diplomatic relations since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

IRNA also reported that Iran delivered a letter to Britain accusing London of having an “obvious role” in the killing. It said that a series of assassinations began after British intelligence chief John Sawers hinted in 2010 at intelligence operations against the Islamic Republic.

British media have quoted Sawers as saying that intelligence-led operations were needed to make it more difficult for countries like Iran to develop nuclear weapons.

Britain’s Foreign Office has condemned the killing of civilians. Israeli officials, in contrast, have hinted at covert campaigns against Iran without directly admitting involvement.

The killing has sparked outrage in Iran, and state TV broadcast footage Saturday of hundreds of students marching in Tehran to condemn Roshan’s death and calling for the continuation of the country’s disputed nuclear program.

The U.S. and its allies fear Iran’s program aims to develop nuclear weapons. Iran denies the charges, and says its nuclear program is for peaceful purposes only.

In the clearest sign yet that Iran is preparing to strike back for Roshan’s killing, Gen. Masoud Jazayeri, the spokesman for Iran’s Joint Armed Forces Staff, was quoted by the semiofficial ISNA news agency Saturday as saying that Tehran was “reviewing the punishment” of “behind-the-scene elements” involved in the assassination.

“Iran’s response will be a tormenting one for supporters of state terrorism,” he said, without elaborating. “The enemies of the Iranian nation, especially the United States, Britain and the Zionist regime, or Israel, have to be held responsible for their activities.”

Jazayeri also accused the International Atomic Energy Agency of being partially to blame, saying that the U.N. nuclear watchdog made public a list of Iranian nuclear scientists and officials that “has provided the possibility of their identification and targeting by spy networks.”

 

 

US acts to hold Israel back from striking Iran. Their intel agencies at odds

Saturday, January 14th, 2012

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 14, 2012

The bombing attack in Tehran which killed Iranian nuclear scientist Mostafa Ahmadi-Roshan last Wednesday, Jan. 11, generated an angry phone call from US President Barack Obama to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu the next day, DEBKAfile’s Washington and intelligence sources report.  Washington is increasingly concerned, the Wall Street Journal reported Saturday, that Israel is preparing to strike Iran’s nuclear sites over US objections and has bolstered the defenses of US facilities in the region in case of a conflict.

Obama, Defense and Secretary Leon Panetta and Secretary of State Hillary Clinton have been sending private messages to their Israel contacts warning them about the dire consequences of a strike, the paper reports. Top US armed forces chief Gen. Martin Dempsey will visit Israel next week.
DEBKAfile’s exclusive sources report that the differences between the US and Israel surfaced before the tough Obama-Netanyahu conversation last Thursday. Political, military and intelligence officials privately voiced resentment over the strong and unusual condemnation the White House and Secretary Clinton issued over the death of the Iranian nuclear scientist.

By denying “absolutely” any US involvement in the killing, the administration implicitly pointed the finger at Israel – an unusual act in relations between two friendly governments, especially when both face a common issue as sensitive as a nuclear-armed Iran.
Obama seemed to suspect that Israel staged the killing to torpedo yet another US secret effort to avoid a military confrontation with Iran through back channel contacts with Tehran, while the administration’s extreme condemnation is seen as tying in with its all-out campaign to hold Israel back from a unilateral strike.

As part of this campaign, the Foreign Policy publication ran an “investigative report” Friday, Jan. 13, the point of which was to show that US and Israeli undercover agencies have been at odds for years after what was called a Mossad “false flag” operation. “Two US intelligence officers” are said to have revealed to the publication that in 2007 and 2008, Israeli Mossad officers posing as US intelligence agents with American passports recruited terrorist group Jundallah operatives for covert attacks in Iran.

This Pakistan-based Baluchi extremist group was described as utterly shunned by the CIA.
The weekly’s sources said they were “stunned by the brazenness of Mossad’s recruiting activities…under the nose of US intelligence officers, most notably in London.”

They implied that Jundallah were sure they had been recruited by US intelligence. But so was Tehran. The Israeli “false flag” program was therefore accused of putting American agents at risk.

A “serving US intelligence officer” told the paper that President George W. Bush when informed of this episode “went absolutely ballistic.”

DEBKAfile adds: At the time of this alleged operation, Ehud Olmert was prime minister of Israel and Meir Dagan director of the Mossad. While the Bush administration is not known to have ever taken it up with Israel, Barack Obama decided to cool US intelligence cooperation with Israel on the Iranian issue when he took office in 2009.

Foreign Policy in its tendentious and selective report presents Mossad as the sole recruiter of Jundallah for sabotage and hit operations for defeating Iran’s drive for a nuclear bomb. It omits the slightest mention of the fact that US intelligence started using Jundallah for such operations from early 2005 with ample US-dollar funding approved personally by President Bush.
Our Washington and intelligence sources note that the report appeared two days after the Iranian nuclear scientist was killed and the day after Obama took Netanyahu to task. It had two objective: to show that US is not responsible for all the covert operations of recent months against Iran’s nuclear targets and, secondly, to demonstrate that Washington means to continue harassing and pressuring Israel by every means to hold it back from a military operation against Iran.

 

Tensions high, US warns Iran not to block shipping

Friday, January 13th, 2012

01/13/2012

By ANNE GEARAN | Associated Press

WASHINGTON (AP) — Tensions rising by the day, the Obama administration said Friday it is warning Iran through public and private channels against any action that threatens the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf. The Navy revealed that two U.S. ships in and near the Gulf were harassed by Iranian speedboats last week.

Spokesmen were vague on what the United States would do about Iran’s threat to block the strategic Strait of Hormuz, but military officials have been clear that the U.S. is readying for a possible naval clash.

That prospect is the latest flashpoint with Iran, and one of the most serious. Although it currently overshadows the threat of war over Iran’s disputed nuclear program, perhaps beginning with an Israeli military strike on Iran’s nuclear structure, both simmering crises raise the possibility of a shooting war this year.

“We have to make sure we are ready for any situation and have all options on the table,” Defense Secretary Leon Panetta said, addressing a soldier’s question Thursday about the overall risk of war with Iran.

Navy officials said that in separate incidents Jan. 6, three Iranian speedboats — each armed with a mounted gun — briefly chased after a U.S. Navy ship just outside the Gulf near the Strait of Hormuz and a U.S. Coast Guard cutter in the northern Gulf. No shots were fired and the speedboats backed off.

For several reasons, the risk of open conflict with Tehran appears higher in this election year than at any point since President Barack Obama took office with a pledge to try to bridge 30 years of enmity. A clash would represent a failure of U.S. policy on several fronts and vault now-dormant national security concerns into the presidential election contest.

The U.S. still hopes that international pressure will persuade Iran to back down on its disputed nuclear program, but the Islamic regime shows no sign it would willingly give up a project has become a point of national pride. A nuclear bomb, or the ability to quickly make one, could also be worth much more to Iran as a bargaining chip down the road.

Time is short, with Iran making several leaps toward the ability to manufacture a nuclear weapon if it chooses to do so. Iran claims its nuclear development is intended for the peaceful production of energy. Meanwhile, several longstanding assumptions about U.S. influence and the value of a targeted strike to stymie Iran’s progress toward a nuclear weapon have changed. For one, the White House is no longer confident it could prevail on Israel not to launch such a strike.

An escalating covert campaign of sabotage and targeted assassinations highlighted by this week’s killing of an Iranian nuclear scientist may not be enough to head off a larger shooting war and could prod Iran to strike first.

The brazen killing of a young scientist by motorcycle-riding bombers is seen as almost surely the work of Israel, according to U.S. and other officials speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence matters. The killing on a Tehran street followed the deaths of several other Iranians involved in the nuclear program, a mysterious explosion at an Iranian nuclear site that may have been sabotage and the apparent targeting of the program with an efficient computer virus.

Iranian officials accuse both Israel and the U.S. of carrying out the assassination as part of a secret operation to stop Iran’s nuclear program. The killing came a day after Israeli military chief Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz was quoted as telling a parliamentary panel that 2012 would be a “critical year” for Iran — in part because of “things that happen to it unnaturally.”

Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton and Panetta made a point of publicly denying any U.S. involvement, but the administration tied itself in knots this week over how far to go in condemning an action that could further the U.S. goal of stalling Iranian nuclear progress.

The U.S. position remains that a military strike on Iran’s known nuclear facilities is undesirable because it would have unintended consequences and would probably only stall, not end, the Iranian nuclear drive. That has been the consensus view among military leaders and policy makers for roughly five years, spanning a Republican and Democratic administration.

But during that time Iran has gotten ever closer to a potential bomb, Israel has gotten more brazen in its threats to stop an Iranian bomb by nearly any means, and the U.S. administration’s influence over Israel has declined.

Israel considers Iran its mortal enemy and takes seriously the Iranian threat to wipe the Jewish state from the map. The United States is Israel’s strongest ally and international defender, but the allies differ over how imminent the Iranian threat has become and how to stop it.

The strained relationship between Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu plays a role, as does the rise in influence of conservative political parties in Israel. U.S. officials have concluded that Israel will go its own way on Iran, despite U.S. objections, and may not give the U.S. much notice if it decides to launch a strike, U.S. and other officials said. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive diplomacy.

The Obama administration is concerned that Iran’s claim this week that it is expanding nuclear operations with more advanced equipment may push Israel closer to a strike.

Obama last month approved new sanctions against Iran that would target its central bank and its ability to sell petroleum abroad. The U.S. has delayed implementing the sanctions for at least six months, worried about sending the price of oil higher at a time when the global economy is struggling.

A senior commander of the Revolutionary Guard force was recently quoted as saying Tehran’s leadership has decided to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz if the country’s petroleum exports are blocked due to sanctions.

Panetta linked the two crises Thursday, saying an Iranian nuclear weapon is one “red line” the U.S. will not allow Iran to cross and a closure of the strait is another.

“We must keep all capabilities ready in the event those lines are crossed,” Panetta told soldiers at Fort Bliss, Texas.

He did not elaborate, but the nation’s top military officer, Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Martin Dempsey, has said the U.S. would take action to reopen the strategic waterway. That could only mean military action, and there are U.S. warships stationed nearby.

“The United States and the international community have a strong interest in the free flow of commerce and freedom of navigation in all national waterways,” White House press secretary Jay Carney said Friday, adding that Iran is well aware of that position. “Our views are clear, we’re expressing them publicly and privately, and I’ll leave it at that.”

International talks to barter Iran out of building a nuclear weapon are nearly collapsed, the United States and several partners are on the verge of applying the toughest sanctions yet on Iran’s lifeblood oil sector, an increasingly cornered Iranian leadership is lashing out in unpredictable ways and faces additional internal pressures with a parliamentary election approaching.

All that adds up to a new equation, U.S. and Western diplomats said. A unilateral U.S. military strike on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure remains unlikely but no longer unthinkable, while the likelihood of an Israeli military strike has increased.

Immediate consequences would probably include an unpredictable spike in oil prices, ripple effects in troubled European economies and a setback for the fragile U.S. economic recovery. Longer term, a strike or a full-on war would almost surely ignite anti-American sentiment in the Middle East and beyond and empower hardline political movements in newly democratic Egypt and elsewhere.

Although the Obama administration wants to avoid conflict, it is locked in a cycle of provocation and reaction that feeds Iranian fears and may make war more likely, said Suzanne Maloney, a former State Department Iran expert now at the Brookings Institution.

“The tactics the administration has been taking means conflict becomes more likely because of the potential for miscalculation and the level of tensions and frustrations on both sides,” she said.

___

AP National Security Writer Robert Burns contributed to this report.

 

The Arlene Bynon Show

Friday, January 13th, 2012

The Arlene Bynon Show

The Iranian Intelligence services now back on their heels after the recent assassination of Iran’s nuclear scientist. War could be imminent as the tension rises in the Persian Gulf.

January 13, 2012

Listen Here

Israeli military chief hints at anti-Iran activity

Friday, January 13th, 2012

01/13/2012

Foxnews

JERUSALEM — Israeli leaders typically greet word of violent setbacks to Iran’s nuclear program with a wall of silence. Now a throwaway comment by Israel’s military chief has hinted of possible Israeli involvement in attacks like the explosion that killed an Iranian nuclear scientist Wednesday.

The car bombing in Tehran was the latest in a string of murky mishaps for Iran’s nuclear program caused by computer worms, explosions and assassinations of top experts. Israel, which has identified a nuclear Iran as an existential threat, is widely suspected of involvement.

While officials never comment on covert military activities, testimony by Lt. Gen. Benny Gantz to a closed parliamentary committee on Tuesday appeared particularly prescient.

The Israeli military leader told the Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee on Tuesday that “2012 is expected to be a critical year for Iran.” He cited “the confluence of efforts to advance the nuclear program, internal leadership changes, continued international pressure and things that happen to it unnaturally.”

Gantz’s testimony was leaked by a meeting participant who spoke on condition of anonymity because the testimony was closed.

Israeli officials in the past have spoken somewhat giddily of the “unnatural” setbacks that have plagued Iran’s nuclear program. The timing of Gantz’s testimony, just hours before Wednesday’s assassination, was perhaps the strongest hint yet of Israeli involvement.

In a statement posted on Facebook, the chief military spokesman, Brig. Gen. Yoav Mordechai, said: “I don’t know who settled the score with the Iranian scientist, but I certainly am not shedding a tear.”

Hazhir Teimourian, an Iran expert at the Limehouse Group of Analysts in London, stressed it was impossible to be certain who carried out the attack. But he said Israel was a logical candidate.

“The Israelis really have the ability and the incentive,” he said.

Israeli leaders have long warned that a nuclear-armed Iran would be an existential threat to the Jewish state. They cite Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmedinejad’s frequent references to Israel’s destruction, Iran’s support for the anti-Israel Hezbollah and Hamas militant groups and its aggressive missile development program. Years of Iranian run-ins with the U.N. nuclear agency have only deepened those fears.

Iran says its program is for peaceful purposes, but the international community has rejected those claims, and the U.N. Security Council has imposed four sets of financial sanctions.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu routinely warns of the Iranian threat in his speeches, and he has even drawn parallels between the rise of Nazi Germany and the development of Iran’s nuclear program. Netanyahu has toured European capitals to personally plead the case for tougher international sanctions against Iran, and Israeli leaders frequently hint at military action if sanctions fail by saying “all options are on the table.”

Military action isn’t out of the question. In 1981, Israeli warplanes destroyed a nuclear reactor being built in Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. In 2007, Israeli warplanes destroyed a site in Syria that the U.N. nuclear watchdog deemed to be a secretly built nuclear reactor.

Experts say that Iran has learned from these incidents, scattering its nuclear facilities throughout the country and burying key installations deep underground to help thwart a direct attack.

That has raised speculation that Israel and its Western allies would use covert means to disrupt the Iranian program.

One Israeli official said Israeli security chiefs believe covert activities are not a perfect solution.

“They can impede, delay and threaten” the Iranians. “But it’s not what will stop the program,” he said. He spoke on condition of anonymity because he was sharing a classified security assessment.

He said Israeli leaders remain hopeful that international sanctions and diplomatic pressure will persuade Iran to abandon its nuclear program.

But security officials believe time is running out. They believe Iran will pass the technological threshold for producing nuclear weapons — the “point of no return” — later this year, and they will be able to develop an actual weapon within two or three years.

Iran accused Israel of carrying out Wednesday’s killing of Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan, a chemistry expert and a director of the Natanz uranium enrichment facility in central Iran. The state news agency IRNA said Roshan, who died when two men on a motorcycle stuck a bomb to his car, had “organizational links” to Iran’s nuclear agency, suggesting he was an important figure.

Iran has accused the Mossad, the CIA and Britain’s spy agency of engaging in an underground campaign against nuclear-related targets, including at least three killings since early 2010.

Another key attack was the release of a malicious computer virus known at Stuxnet in 2010 that temporarily disrupted controls of some centrifuges — a key component in nuclear fuel production. All three countries have denied the accusations.

Ronen Bergman, an investigative journalist with the Yediot Ahronot daily and expert on Israeli intelligence affairs, said the Mossad has “for years” targeted enemies that include “nuclear proliferators.”

“The outcome of such assassinations are the actual neutralization of the main scientists and the intimidation of those left behind,” he said.

 

 

Turkey halts Iranian arms corridor to Syria, balks at nuclear Iran

Thursday, January 12th, 2012

DEBKAfile Exclusive Report January 12, 2012

When IDF Military Intelligence chief Maj.-Gen. Aviv Kochavi accused Iran and Hizballah Wednesday, Jan. 11of directly helping Bashar Assad repress the uprising against him with arms, Turkey had just taken a stand against the Iranian corridor running weapons to Syria via its territory, DEBKAfile’s military sources report.

Earlier this week, Ankara reported halting five Iranian trucks loaded with weapons for Syria at the Killis Turkish-Syrian border crossing and impounding its freight. According to our intelligence sources, the Iranian convoy was not really stopped at Killis but at the eastern Turkish Dobubayazit border crossing with Iran, near Mount Ararat. This supply route for Syria had been going strong for months. Ankara’s decision to suspend it has reduced its volume by 60 percent.

The Turks kept very quiet about the Dogubayazit route because disclosure would have exposed them as working two sides of the Syrian conflict – letting Tehran set up a clandestine arms route for helping the Assad regime crack down on protest, while publicly posing as the leading champions of the Syrian protest movement – even to providing the Free Syria Army with bases and training facilities.

The influx of Iranian arms supplies via Turkey gave the Syrian army a major boost in quelling the uprising especially in the restive towns of Hama, Homs and Idlib, where demonstrations have dwindled. Now Ankara is worried about the consequences. Thursday, President Abdullah Gul raised fears of the Syrian uprising mutating into civil war. Our sources report that Ankara is concerned that sectarian conflict in Syria could spill over into Turkey.

In fact, as DEBKAfile’s military and intelligence sources report exclusively, Ankara changed course against Iran after Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu visited Tehran on Jan. 5. His mission was to warn Iranian leaders including President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad whom he met that Turkey will not stand for Iran acquiring a nuclear bomb and would act to disrupt its program.

Although his visit was officially presented as an effort to broker the resumption of long-stalled nuclear talks between Tehran and the five world powers plus Germany (P5+1), Davutoglu in fact informed Ahmadinejad in no-nonsense terms, “Turkey can’t live between two nuclear powers, one to the north (Russia) and one to the east (Iran).” The minister warned that if Tehran goes into production of a nuclear weapon, Ankara’s first step would be to open the door for NATO forces to deploy along its border with Iran.

According to DEBKAfile sources, Davutoglu gave Ahmadinejad a week to clarify the information reaching the West that Tehran had already begun assembling a nuclear weapon, so belying the persistent Iranian claim that its nuclear program is peaceful. After that, he said, Ankara would embark on progressively tougher counter-action.

And indeed, when clarifications from Tehran had not been received by Tuesday, Jan. 10, Turkey went into action to halt the Iranian weapons convoy to Syria.

Taking advantage of the new opportunities presented by the US military departure from Iraq last month, Iranian officials the next day, Wednesday, Jan. 11, ordered Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki to shut the Iraqi-Jordanian border to convoys carrying Turkish export goods to Persian Gulf destinations.

The following day, Thursday, Iran’s Speaker of Parliament, Ali Larijani, turned up in Ankara to try and sort things out between Iran and Turkey before they got out of hand.

 

The Rusty Humphries show

Wednesday, January 11th, 2012

The Rusty Humphries show

The assassination of the Iranian scientist, the pursuit of the Islamic regime for the nuclear bomb and the pending confrontation in the Persian Gulf.

January 11, 2012

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The John Batchelor Show

Wednesday, January 11th, 2012

The John Batchelor Show

Covert operations in Iran and another nuclear scientist assassinated, the faith of Amir Hekmati charged with espionage and Ahmadinejad’s visit to Venezuela.

January 11, 2012

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U.S. denies role in killing of Iranian scientist; Tehran blames Israel, U.S.

Wednesday, January 11th, 2012

By AL ARABIYA WITH AGENCIES

Wednesday, 11 January 2012

An Iranian university professor was killed by a bomb placed on his car by a motorcyclist in Tehran on Wednesday, a city official told the Fars news agency, blaming Israel for an attack he said was similar to ones targeting nuclear scientists a year ago.

Iran said Israel and the United States were behind a car-bomb assassination of one of its nuclear scientists in Tehran, calling it a “terrorist act” in the same vein as previous killings of other Iranian scientists.

But the White House on Wednesday denied any U.S. role in the assassination of the nuclear scientist.

“The United States had absolutely nothing to do with this,” White House spokesman Tommy Vietor said. “We strongly condemn all acts of violence, including acts of violence like what is being reported today.”

“We condemn any assassination or attack on an innocent person and we express our sympathies to the family,” State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland told reporters at her daily briefing.

The scientist killed was working at Iran’s Natanz uranium enrichment facility, a university website said.

The scientist, Mostafa Ahmadi Roshan, “has been working as the deputy in charge of commerce at the Natanz site,” said a posting on the website of Sharif University in Tehran, from which Ahmadi Roshan graduated around a decade ago, according to AFP.

“He was working on project of making polymeric membrane for separating gas,” the university website said.

“This terrorist act was carried out by agents of the Zionist regime (Israel) and by those who claim to be combatting terrorism (the United States) with the aim of stopping our scientists from serving” Iran, Vice President Mohammed Reza Rahimi told state television.

He added that the latest attack would not stop Iran forging ahead with its controversial nuclear program.

“They (Israel and the United States) should know that Iranian scientists are more determined than ever in striding towards Iran’s progress,” he said.

“The bomb was a magnetic one and the same as the ones previously used for the assassination of the scientists, and is the work of the Zionists (Israelis)” Fars quoted Deputy Governor Safarali Baratloo as saying.

Witnesses told Reuters they saw two people on the motorbike stick the bomb to the car. As well as the person killed in the car, a pedestrian was also killed by the blast. Another person in the car was gravely injured, they said.

Israel ‘not shedding tear’

A senior Israeli official on Wednesday gave a cryptic reaction to the car bomb, saying he was unaware who did it but calling it an act of “revenge.”

“I don’t know who took revenge on the Iranian scientist, but I am definitely not shedding a tear,” Israeli military spokesman Brigadier General Yoav Mordechai wrote on his official Facebook page.

Iran stays defiant

Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization said on Wednesday the country’s nuclear path will not change after Tehran accused Israel of killing one of its nuclear scientists in a “heinous act.”

The agency said in a statement that the disputed nuclear program, which Iran says is for energy and the West says aims to make atomic weapons, would carry on despite international pressure, Iran’s Arabic language al Alam TV reported.

“We will continue our (nuclear) path without any doubt … Our path is irreversible,” said the statement quoted by the television channel.

The statement said the lecturer, who was killed on Wednesday by a magnet bomb fixed to his car by a motorcyclist, was an Iranian nuclear scientist.

The heinous acts of America and the criminal Zionist regime (Israel) will not disrupt our glorious path and Iran will firmly continue this path with no doubt,” the statement said.

“The more you kill us, the more our nation will become awakened as our late leader of the Islamic revolution Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini had said.”

Other scientists killed

Three other Iranian scientists were killed in 2010 and 2011 when their cars blew up in similar circumstances. At least two of the scientists had been working on nuclear activities.

The current head of Iran’s atomic organization, Fereydoun Abbasi, escaped another such attempt in November 2010, getting out of his car with his wife just before the attached bomb exploded.

Those attacks were viewed by Iranian officials as assassination operations carried out by Israel’s Mossad intelligence service, possibly with help from U.S. counterparts.

Iran denies Western suspicions that its nuclear program has military goals, saying it is for purely peaceful purposes.

 

 

Is the Iranian regime finally starting to crack? Their sabre rattling is a sign of desperation

Wednesday, January 11th, 2012

dailymail.co.uk

By MELANIE PHILLIPS

Last updated at 6:11 PM on 10th January 2012

Dare one hope that finally the Iranian regime is starting to crack? Certainly a number of observers appear to think so.

‘Reza Kahlili’, a pseudonymous former CIA operative in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, the force that underpins the regime’s power base, has written that a split has opened up within the Revolutionary Guards which offers the west a rare opening to act against the regime.

As noted before, the mysterious and devastating explosions on November 12 at the Guards’ base shook the regime and have led to many arrests – but in the words of a Guards’ commander quoted in the article, many of his comrades loathe and feel trapped by the regime.

‘Reza Kahlili’ writes: ‘The commander says the nation is suffering from an epidemic of hopelessness and that the possibility of an uprising like the one of 2009 is not great. He believes that now the only possibility for regime change is an attack from outside, such as the one that toppled Saddam Hussein in Iraq, but it would be highly costly for Iran and Iranians.

‘In a stern warning to Iranians and the world, the commander states that if the regime is not overthrown, it will soon test its first nuclear bomb, becoming essentially untouchable. It will then suppress anyone opposing it just as Stalin did in the Soviet Union.

‘There are steps the West, particularly the US, can take to exploit this split in the Guard and encourage regime change. It must voice support for Iranians in their aspirations for freedom and democracy. It should condemn the Iranian leaders for crimes against humanity and move to arrest and try them in international courts. It must confront the Revolutionary Guard with its terrorist activities abroad. And the West must expand its economic sanctions to the Iranian Central Bank and Iranian oil immediately.

The increasing sabre rattling by the Iranian regime may be seen not as an expression of growing power but, on the contrary, as the desperation of those fighting to prevent power from draining away.

Sanctions appear to be biting at long last. The problem, however, is that this is all happening at the fifty-ninth minute of the eleventh hour.

There have long been hopes that the regime would be brought down; the problem was always that Iran might go nuclear before that happened. Only now is the west finally turning the screw.

But if the regime can hold on for a little longer until it finally crosses that nuclear threshold, then the west will become as paralysed over Iran, and the mortal threat it poses to the free world, as it is over North Korea.

The window of opportunity in Iran is about to close. Will the west finally summon up the courage to step through it before it does?

 

 

 

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